Electoral College Calculator - Predict who will win the next Presidential election.
Using the list, "Which Party Controls the Legislature" ( next item ) the Democrats reap 268 electoral votes, the Republicans receive 270 electoral votes.
It is important to remember that a statewide election for President does not always go to the party that controls the State Legislature. Ohio was close for Bush. A few thousand more voting for Kerry would have turned the election around.
Why were more voters there for Bush? Because the Republican Party is the winning team in Ohio. They have largely acheived this dominance through two rounds of gerrymandered redistricting. ( The Democrats did the same thing when they had the power BTW. ) As a result, among the 18 Congressional districts, 12 are considered "safe-seats" for Republicans and six for Democrats. It is even worse at the State House, where we have 99 legislative districts. Current split is 60 - 39 favoring the Republican party.
November 2, 2004, of the 99 House legislative races, 9 Republicans and 13 Democrats ran unopposed. Among the 77 seats remaining, the winner won by less then 2 percent in two districts; 1 and 63. Five district races (21, 41, 57, 91, and 93) resulted in a winning margin under 6 percent. Look at it the other way, Ohio politicians gave the voters 7 competitive elections and 92 safe seat ceremonial inductions.
"Why weren't the voters there for Kerry?" Voter apathy maybe? Tired of losing every two years they just say to heck with it.
the Link:
NARA | Federal Register | U. S. Electoral College